BREEZE INTELLIGENCE

A proprietary algorithmic model that predicts racetrack performance before the starting gate opens.

Every buyer at the under-tack show sees the same clock. ThoroughByte goes deeper — our model synthesizes 20+ data points from each breeze into a single 0–100 score, normalizing for environmental variables and isolating the true athletic signal — delivered before sale day.

2024 OBS RESULTS 1,474 horses · $89M in earnings · 18 months post-sale
TierAvg Earnings
ELITE
$137,780
STRONG
$94,871
ABOVE AVG
$53,312
AVERAGE
$46,631
BELOW AVG
$32,987
WEAK
$16,536
10/12 Graded Stakes Winners from top 2 tiers
0 Graded Stakes Winners from bottom 2 tiers

A rating system calibrated to real outcomes.

Every horse that breezes at an under-tack show generates data far richer than the clock time posted on the board. ThoroughByte captures multiple performance dimensions from each breeze and runs them through a composite model that accounts for environmental noise, sex-specific baselines, and distance benchmarks.

The output is a single score (0–100) and a tier classification — ELITE, STRONG, ABOVE AVG, AVERAGE, BELOW AVG, or WEAK — that tells you where a horse stands relative to the entire sale population. No opinions. No pedigree bias. Just the athletic signal extracted from the breeze itself.

WHAT THE MARKET SAW
Hip 951
Sire Volatile
Dam Athenian Beauty
Sex / Dist Colt · 1/8
:10.1 furlong time

Pedigree page and a clock time. No context for track variant, session depth, stride mechanics, or environmental conditions.

THOROUGHBYTE ANALYSIS
WHAT OUR MODEL SAW 2024 OBS April · Hip 951
Hip 951
by Volatile — c, 1/8
Dam: Athenian Beauty
68.6
TB SCORE
STRONG
BREEZE DATA INGESTED
25.7′
STRIDE LENGTH
:10.1
1/8 OUT
:21.0
1/4 OUT
11.74
DECELERATION
Proprietary — only from ThoroughByte
MODEL OUTPUT
Top 22%
PERCENTILE
106 / 483
RANK (COLTS)
50.0
SESSION AVG
18 MONTHS LATER
Speed King
9-3-1-0 · Graded Black-Type Winner
$830,190
+730% return on a $100K purchase

Every metric drops monotonically from ELITE to WEAK.

We tracked 1,474 horses from the 2024 OBS March and April sales through 18 months of racing. Every rating was generated before any horse entered a starting gate. Here's what happened.

ELITE 75 horses
STRONG 280 horses
ABOVE AVG 516 horses
AVERAGE 412 horses
BELOW AVG 137 horses
WEAK 54 horses

Average Earnings by Tier

ELITE horses earned $137,780 on average — 8.3x the $16,536 earned by WEAK.

Race Winner Rate

Percentage of starters that won at least one race.

Black-Type Rate

Stakes-quality performance drops from 31% to 0%.

Where Did the Graded Stakes Winners Come From?

10 of 12 Graded Stakes Winners came from our top two tiers. Zero from BELOW AVG or WEAK.

10/12

Graded Stakes Winners from ELITE + STRONG

5 ELITE 5 STRONG 1 ABOVE AVG 1 AVERAGE

These two tiers represent only 24% of the population but produced 83% of the graded stakes winners.

Earnings by Score Decile

Horses binned into deciles by algorithm score. The top decile averaged $138K with 14 stakes winners.

The market underprices talent.
We find it.

A "Market Miss" is a horse rated ELITE or STRONG that sold for $100K or less but went on to earn more than $50K on the track. In 2024, the algorithm flagged 36 of them. Here are the top 10.

Horse Sire Tier Score Sale Price Earnings Return
Speed King Volatile STRONG 68.6 $100,000 $830,190 +730%
Bam's Bliss Kiss Solomini STRONG 70.4 $95,000 $286,290 +201%
Naughty Rascal Rogueish STRONG 72.2 $39,000 $243,975 +526%
Starship Impulsive Improbable STRONG 72.3 $50,000 $218,210 +336%
In My Memories Jimmy Creed STRONG 77.3 $40,000 $212,934 +432%
Artislas Catalina Cruiser STRONG 75.0 $100,000 $209,500 +110%
R Morning Brew Curlin's Honor STRONG 79.3 $30,000 $188,842 +530%
Mrs Worldwide Global Campaign ELITE 80.7 $100,000 $173,350 +73%
R Pretty Kitty Instilled Regard STRONG 70.3 $30,000 $142,693 +376%
Powdered Sugar Gift Box STRONG 66.2 $95,000 $135,440 +43%

What you get.

Pre-Sale Rankings

Complete ranked reports delivered before each sale day. Every horse scored, tiered, and ranked within sex and distance cohorts.

Sire Analytics

See which stallions are producing the highest-rated breezes. Aggregate sire performance across the entire sale.

Dam Annotations

Black-type dam production overlaid on every ranking. BTW, BTP, and BTProd flags so you see the full picture at a glance.

Value Flags

Algorithmic identification of high-rated horses likely to be undervalued by the market — the steals.

Ready for an edge?

ThoroughByte is currently available for the 2026 OBS sale season. Contact us to discuss access and pricing.