BREEZE INTELLIGENCE

A proprietary algorithmic model that predicts racehorse performance before the starting gate opens.

Every buyer at the under-tack show sees the same clock. ThoroughByte goes deeper — our model synthesizes 20+ data points from each breeze into a single 0–100 score, normalizing for environmental variables and isolating the true athletic signal — delivered before sale day.

2024 OBS RESULTS1,474 horses · $89M in earnings · 18 months post-sale
TierAvg Earnings
ELITE
$137,780
STRONG
$94,871
ABOVE AVG
$53,312
AVERAGE
$46,631
BELOW AVG
$32,987
WEAK
$16,536
34/47Graded Stakes Winners from top 2 tiers
1Graded Stakes Winners from bottom 2 tiers

A rating system calibrated to real outcomes.

Every horse that breezes at an under-tack show generates data far richer than the clock time posted on the board. ThoroughByte captures multiple performance dimensions from each breeze and runs them through a composite model that accounts for environmental noise, sex-specific baselines, and distance benchmarks.

The output is a single score (0–100) and a tier classification — ELITE, STRONG, ABOVE AVG, AVERAGE, BELOW AVG, or WEAK — that tells you where a horse stands relative to the entire sale population. No opinions. No pedigree bias. Just the athletic signal extracted from the breeze itself.

SAMPLE REPORT

Sample ThoroughByte ranking report showing horses sorted by hip with color-coded tiers
WHAT THE MARKET SAW
Hip 951
SireVolatile
DamAthenian Beauty
Sex / DistColt · 1/8
:10.1furlong time

Pedigree page and a clock time. No context for track variant, session depth, stride mechanics, or environmental conditions.

THOROUGHBYTE ANALYSIS
WHAT OUR MODEL SAW
THOROUGHBYTEHIP 951
Volatile — Athenian Beauty
Colt • FL-bred • Wavertree Stables Inc
Hip 951 — Volatile colt at OBS Spring 2024
STRONG
68.6
THOROUGHBYTE RATING
#106
Overall Rank
Top 22%
Percentile
1/8 mi
Breeze Dist
10.1s
Breeze Time
10.1s
1/8 Out
21.0s
1/4 Out
25.7′
Stride
11.74s
Decel
$100,000
Sale Price
PERFORMANCE VS. PEER GROUP
Time10.1savg 10.3s
Stride25.7′avg 24.8′
1/8 Out10.1savg 10.3s
1/4 Out21.0savg 21.4s
Decel11.74savg 12.1s
SCOUTING REPORT

This Volatile colt posted a well-above-average breeze, placing in the top 22% among the 483 colts who breezed 1/8 mile at this sale. At 10.1s, the breeze time came in 0.2s quicker than the 10.3s average. A standout feature: the 25.7-foot stride was among the longest in the group (avg 24.8′), suggesting an efficient mover. Deceleration through the gallop-out clocked at 11.74s, better than the 12.1s peer average — indicating the horse was still running hard past the wire.

Compared against 483 colts who breezed 1/8 mile at OBS April 2024.

18 MONTHS LATER
Speed King
9-3-1-0 · Graded Black-Type Winner
$830,190
+730% return on a $100K purchase

Every metric drops monotonically from ELITE to WEAK.

We tracked 1,474 horses from the 2024 OBS March and April sales through 18 months of racing. Every rating was generated before any horse entered a starting gate. Here's what happened.

ELITE75 horses
STRONG280 horses
ABOVE AVG516 horses
AVERAGE412 horses
BELOW AVG137 horses
WEAK54 horses

Average Earnings by Tier

ELITE horses earned $137,780 on average — 8.3x the $16,536 earned by WEAK.

Race Winner Rate

Percentage of starters that won at least one race.

Black-Type Rate

Stakes-quality performance drops from 31% (ELITE) to 0% (WEAK).

Where Did the Graded Stakes Winners Come From?

34 of 47 Graded Stakes Winners came from our top two tiers. Just 1 from BELOW AVG or WEAK.

34/47

Graded Stakes Winners from ELITE + STRONG

15 ELITE19 STRONG6 ABOVE AVG6 AVERAGE1 BELOW AVG

These two tiers represent only 24% of the population but produced 72% of the graded stakes winners.

Earnings by Score Decile

Horses binned into deciles by algorithm score. The top decile averaged $119K with 25 stakes winners.

Four steps between you and the best athletes in the sale.

1

Scores go live the same day horses breeze.

Not the night before, not the morning of the sale. As the breeze show unfolds, every horse that worked is scored, tiered, and sorted within sex and distance cohorts. Generate individual horse cards for the prospects you care about, or explore the full ranked list with Elite access. Either way, you have data before the sale ring opens.

2

Zero in on the athletes that matter.

Search by hip number to pull up any horse and generate a detailed profile card with score, tier, and a written scouting summary. On the Elite plan, open the full interactive ranked list — sort by any column, filter by tier or cohort, isolate state-breds, and export the whole thing as a PDF.

3

Challenge the market’s assumptions.

A :10.1 breeze on Day 1 is not the same as a :10.1 breeze on Day 3. It may not even be the same as a :10.1 breeze three sets later on the same morning. Track conditions shift constantly — and not always in the same direction. A sealed surface that started deep and cuppy can dry out and turn fast by midmorning. The next day, a freshly harrowed track might ride fast early and deteriorate as hundreds of horses churn through it. Weather changes between sets. Moisture levels shift.

ThoroughByte normalizes for all of it: session depth, track variant, set-to-set surface changes, and environmental conditions. The model doesn’t assume conditions move in one direction — it measures which direction they actually moved and adjusts accordingly.

4

Buy with conviction.

Walk into the sale ring knowing the difference between a horse the market priced correctly and one it didn’t. ThoroughByte won’t replace your eye or your experience — it gives both of them better information to work with.

The market underprices talent.
We find it.

A “Market Miss” is a horse rated ELITE or STRONG that sold for $100K or less but went on to earn $100K or more on the track. In 2024, the algorithm flagged 36 of them.

This is exactly the kind of horse ThoroughByte is built to surface before the sale ring prices it correctly. Every horse in the table below was algorithmically flagged as high-rated at a time when the market had not yet recognized the value. The data was generated before any of these horses ever entered a starting gate.

HorseSireTierScoreSale PriceEarningsReturn
Speed KingVolatileSTRONG68.6$100,000$830,190+730%
Bam’s Bliss KissSolominiSTRONG70.4$95,000$286,290+201%
Naughty RascalRogueishSTRONG72.2$39,000$243,975+526%
Starship ImpulsiveImprobableSTRONG72.3$50,000$218,210+336%
In My MemoriesJimmy CreedSTRONG77.3$40,000$212,934+432%
ArtislasCatalina CruiserSTRONG75.0$100,000$209,500+110%
R Morning BrewCurlin’s HonorSTRONG79.3$30,000$188,842+530%
Mrs WorldwideGlobal CampaignELITE80.7$100,000$173,350+73%
R Pretty KittyInstilled RegardSTRONG70.3$30,000$142,693+376%
Powdered SugarGift BoxSTRONG66.2$95,000$135,440+43%

Everything you need, nothing you don’t.

The ThoroughByte platform powers every tier — from free horse cards to the full Elite suite.

Horse Profile Cards

Individual horse cards with breeze time, stride length, gallop-out, deceleration, percentile rank, and a written scouting summary. Downloadable as PNG.

All Plans

Consigner Ratings

Every consigner scored and tiered using Bayesian-adjusted racing outcomes, volume reliability, and market validation. Know which barns are producing runners — not just sale-toppers. See the methodology →

Pro & Elite

Interactive Ranked Sale List

Every horse scored 0–100 and tiered. Sortable and filterable by hip, score, tier, percentile, stride length, deceleration, sire, and state-bred designation. Exportable as PDF.

Elite

Sire Performance Summary

Aggregate breeze metrics by stallion across the entire sale. See which sires are producing the highest-rated athletes.

Elite

Dam Black-Type Overlay

BTW, BTP, and BTProd flags on every ranked horse, so pedigree context is visible alongside the athletic data.

Elite

Value Flags

Algorithmic markers where ThoroughByte’s athletic rating significantly exceeds expected market price based on historical consignor and sire median sale data.

Elite

Tier Analysis PDF

Full-sale breakdown: tier distribution, average metrics per tier, and cohort comparisons by sex and distance.

Elite

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  • Downloadable PNG cards
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  • Sorting & filtering
  • PDF / CSV export
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  • Consigner Ratings
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  • Sorting & filtering
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